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What Does January’s Inflation Report Mean for Treasuries?

February 22, 2024

Treasury markets enjoyed a powerful rally off the October 2023 lows before peaking in late-December. During the period between October and December, there was a strong positive correlation between equity and Treasury markets. But that correlation has since broken, as stocks continued to new all-time highs while Treasury markets have been on the retreat. Could a series of strong labor reports and hotter-than-expected inflation data threaten the prospects of a pivot?

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